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Г¶sterr. Romme League Of Legends Kleidung League of Legends Fanartikel Video

Battle of Alesia 52 BC - Total War: Rome 2 historical movie in cinematic Rome Vs Arverni

Ferdinandeum Innsbruck69 : Trenkwalder A. It states that EU—China cooperation should be more Drehung Englisch oriented. Es ist nichts gelöst, es ist alles nur zugedeckelt.

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Kolesov K. Nizhniy Novgorod: Nizhegorodskiy gosudarstvenniy universiyey im. Alekseeva in Russian. Mindeli issras. Ostapyuk issras. Fetisov issras.

A basic precondition for the solution of the ambitious task - Russia entering the club of five largest economies in the worlds, set by the President of the Russian Federation, - is consolidation and joint actions of the participants in the strategic planning, ensuring the development of socio-economic and scientific-technological spheres of activity.

The original threshold document determining the prospects for their development is the prediction of socio-economic and scientific-technological development, forecast of the progress in science, including the basic research.

Prediction of fundamental and exploratory research pilot-study is the responsibility of the Russian Academy of Sciences. However, as evidenced by the analysis, forecasting procedure of these activities, in contrast to the socio-economic and scientific-technological development, is not legally regulated.

Ways to eliminate this gap is the subject of the study. The work outlines the subject and steps in the procedure of long-term forecasting in the scientific and technical spheres.

The analysis of normative and legal basis of the formation of aggregated long-term forecast models for fundamental and exploratory research defined terms and stages of such rules' development for aggregate models, formulated the methodological features and requirements of these regulations, as well as the proposals for the development of its expertise tools and information support.

The study laid the basis for preparing and taking the government decision on regulation of predicting fundamental and exploratory research providing RAS with the responsible status on predicting fundamental and pilot-studies.

It is emphasized that the procedure and the development model specified matches the national forecasting model, certain decisions of the Government of the Russian Federation on the procedure of forecasting the socio-economic, scientific and technological development.

At the same time, the model considers the differences in forecasting problems of development of fundamental and applied scientific types of research.

Keywords: fundamental and pilot-study, socio-economic and scientific-technological development, procedure and model of long-term forecasting, strategic planning, legislation, methodological and information provision, institute and rules of regulations.

Long-Term Science and Technology. Forsyth, 3, in Russian. Biktimirov M. Experience in Canada, the Netherlands, Germany. Modeling and Analysis of Information Systems, 22, 1, in Russian.

Dushkin R. Why hybrid AI Systems of the Future. Economic Strategy, 6 , in Russian. Ivanov V. Ivanova N. Industry Innovation Policy Tools.

Knyazev Y. The Society and Economy, 3, 16 in Russian. Kudrin A. Strategic lessons. Litvak B. Expert Assessments and Decisions. Moscow: Patent in Russian.

Makosko A. Innovation, 9 , in Russian. Marcus G. Deep Learning: A Critical Appraisal. Cornell University Library. New York University.

Mindeli L. The Society and Economy, 9, in Russian. The society and economy, 10, in Russian. Microeconomics, 5, in Russian.

Novikov, D. Active Forecast. Ostapyuk S. In: Bestuzhev-Lada I. Pletnyov K. Russell S. Artificial Intelligence. A Modern Approach.

Moscow: Williams in Russian. Science and Innovation Policy: Russia and the World, Moscow: Nauka in Russian. Sidelnikov U. Technology Expert scenario forecasting.

Moscow: MAI in Russian. Sokolov A. Forsyth: A Look into the Future. Forsyth, 1, 1, in Russian. Zubova L. Newsletter, 6, in Russian.

Moscow: ZISN. This research is focused on the approbation of Seasonal Component AutoRegressive with exogenous factors SCARX forecasting models class on two price area of the Russian electricity market.

The SCARX model consists of extrapolation of long-term trend-seasonal component and independent forecasting of short-term seasonal-stochastic component of electricity price.

The performance evaluation was carried out using weighted weekly and daily mean absolute errors, as well as the formal statistical procedure of the prediction ability comparison - Diebold-Mariano test DM-test.

The historical data of price and planed consumption in the Europe-Ural and Siberia price areas of the Russian electricity exchange were used for the numerical experiment, while testing period is week or days long.

The same results are proved by the formal DM-test carried for each hour in trading day. In order to overcome the problem of a priori selection of smoothing parameters, it is proposed to use various methods of forecast combinations.

Keywords: electricity price forecasting, seasonal component autoregressive, wavelet-smoothng, Hodrick-Prescott filter, Diebold-Mariano test.

Energy Economics, 56, Carmon R. New York: Springer. Casazza J. Hoboken: Wiley. Chuchueva I. Postgraduate thesis.

Conejo A. International Journal of Forecasting, 21, 3, De Jong C. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 10, 3, Diebold F.

Comparing Predictive Accuracy. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13, Eydeland A. Energy and Power Risk Management. New Jersey: Wiley.

Fedorova E. Proceedings of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Power Engineering, 3, in Russian. Haldrup N. Energy Economics, 32, Hodrick R.

Postwar U. Business Cycles: An Empirical Investigation. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 29, 1, Hyndman R. Forecasting: Principles and Practice.

Janczura J. Energy Economics, 38, Lisi F. Maciejowska K. International Journal of Forecasting, 32, 3, Misiorek A.

Non-Linear Time Series Models. Nogales F. Nowotarski J. Energy Economics, 46, Energy Economics, 39, Energy Economics, 57, Val' P.

Weron R. International Journal of Forecasting, 30, Energy Economics, 48, Danilin V. In developing a business plan, take part in almost all company departments, such as purchasing department, production department or the planning and Economic Department, Finance Department, Sales Department and others.

Each unit develops its own section of the plan, on the basis of their specific objectives, which did not always coincide with the objectives of the company as a whole.

This raises the problem of harmonizing these decisions with the company's goals. There are different approaches to solving the problem of harmonization.

For example, vertical alignment, when units are in detail its decisions in aggregated form and pass them in the direction where on that basis accepted the final version of the plan of the company and the results are on the level of units for rework.

This article focuses on the development of a system of models horizontal harmonization of planning decisions between units. To solve this problem, the methodology of the sequence of decision-making entities in the form of an iterative procedure based on system models.

The system consists of a model production plan in view of the expansion of capacities, model financial plan plan for profits and losses, planned balance and cash flow plan , the company's marketing plan model and model supply plan given the inverse relationships between models.

The example shows that after a number of iterations units receive a consistent routine decision corresponding to the objectives of the company as a whole.

Keywords: functional units, production and financial divisions, the first division of supply and sales, negotiate solutions, system models, stages iteration the formulation of the plan.

Consistent Management of Active Production Systems. Bagrinovskiy K. Basis of the Harmonization of Planning Decisions.

Brealey R. Principles of Corporate Finance. Brigham E. Financial Management. Saint Petersburg: Economic School in Russian. Cheng F. Corporate Finance: Theory, Methods and Practice.

Crass M. Mathematics and Its Applications in Matematicheskom Education. Moscow: Business in Russian.

Economics and mathematical methods, 51, 4, in Russian. Horne J. Fundamentals of Financial Management. Karlberg K. Business Analysis Using Microsoft Excel.

Mironoseckij N. Novosibirsk: Nauka in Russian. Pleshchynski A. Portugal V. Planning Models. Ross C. Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. Moscow: Laboratory of Basic Knowledge in Russian.

Shapiro J. Modeling the Supply Chain. Saint Petersburg: Peter in Russian. Wentzel E. Operations Research. Zaitsev M. Moscow: Delo in Russian. The article offers methodological approaches to the study of features and differences in the population's assessments of living conditions in the regions of Russia.

An attempt is made to build aggregated indices that characterize the economic growth potential, the aggregate opinion and estimates of the population of regions, the social concern of citizens and the level of public security.

For this purpose, we use data from special sociological surveys and official statistics on 47 subjects of the Russian Federation.

Aggregated indices are calculated using the principal component method. Statistical relationships between the constructed indices are investigated, a regression model is constructed that characterizes the dependence of the population's satisfaction on living conditions from the level of economic potential, concern and trust to law enforcement agencies.

A comparative analysis of the possibilities of economic growth of regions, levels of satisfaction and concern of the population is carried out.

The dynamics of economic potential growth in the regions of the Russian Federation is also analyzed, taking into account the possibility of forecasting and application in social management.

Keywords: regions of Russia, sociological research, quality of life, social concern, economic potential, regional security, main components method, regression analysis, conditional forecast.

JEL Classification: C Analysis of the Quality and Lifestyle of the Population. Econometric Approach. Aivasyan S. Thus, John Box went to scout locations in Mexico and found that the Papaloapan River possessed similar characteristics.

The previously constructed bridge had to be disassembled and re-anchored. Friedkin's crew's arrival caused a major disturbance in the vicinity among the locals because of his reputation as a director of The Exorcist.

However, a part of the population offered help to finish the structure. Ultimately, this river also became stricken with drought, which forced the application of some practical effects to complete the scene.

In order to create artificial rain, Friedkin employed sewage pumps draining water from the river and diverting it to a sprinkler system. This scene alone, which lasts 12 minutes, took several months to complete and cost approximately three million dollars.

He was friends with the film editor, Bud Smith, who recalls Ekins being "as cool as cucumber". For instance, since Roy Scheider's character Jackie Scanlon was meant to be a mob's wheelman, he had to undertake a special preparation for manoeuvering a vintage truck with the purpose of gaining the necessary driving skills.

He summarized the experience as "rehearsing to stay alive". Scheider has emphasized that no rear-screen projection or any other kinds of "trick photography" were used, due to the distance between the cameras, the vehicles and the surrounding terrain.

Said scene was also, according to him, the most perilous sequence he has ever taken part in. Friedkin antagonized Paramount, using a Gulf and Western corporate photo for a scene that featured the evil board of directors of the fictional company which hired the men to deliver nitroglycerin.

When Bluhdorn saw his picture on the wall as chairman of the oil company he had a shit hemorrhage! To create four prologues for the characters' respective backstories, Friedkin shot each of the vignettes on location, respectively in Paris for Victor Manzon, Jerusalem for Kassem, Elizabeth, New Jersey , for Jackie Scanlon, and Veracruz , Mexico, for Nilo.

The main part of the film was, on the other hand, originally meant to be shot in Ecuador , which impressed Friedkin tremendously. However, such a diversity of locations caused serious concerns about the budget.

The director eventually settled on the Dominican Republic , after receiving a green light from the studio's executives. Paul Rowlands, a critic, stated that "it's likely the decision to film in the Dominican Republic was one favoured by Bluhdorn.

After scouting locations with Walon Green and John Box, the production designer, they chose La Altagracia village as the main location.

Although the majority of the film was filmed in the Dominican Republic, Friedkin did not hesitate to look for other locales to achieve the desired effect.

One of the most notable ones is depicted in the film's climax. The one sequence left to shoot was the last leg of the journey of the surviving truck, the Lazaro, and I wanted it to be different from the other locations… and John Box found it in a place called the Bisti Badlands in northwestern New Mexico, 35 miles south of the town called Farmington … It was the landscape we chose for the end of the journey, in which Scanlon embraces madness, abandons his truck, and carries the dynamite two miles to the burning oilfield.

During a sequence involving the detonation of an enormous kaoba tree, Friedkin was faced with a problem of inadequate explosive power. Initially, Marcel Vercoutere, a special effects man who previously worked with the director on The Exorcist , was to be responsible for the explosion.

However, it did not achieve the required effect and barely damaged the tree. This prompted Friedkin to reach for the services of an arsonist hailing from Queens , New York, going by the pseudonym "Marvin the Torch", who arrived at the Dominican Republic three days after the call and utilizing flammable materials obliterated the tree in one take the following morning.

The director described the prologues as "beautifully shot", but he was dissatisfied with the jungle scenes which he deemed "underexposed" and "dark".

He told Dick Bush a reshoot would be necessary. Bush, on the other hand, argued that filming should have taken place on a stage where he could have adequately adjusted the lighting.

The response reminded Friedkin of his previous problems on the set of The Boys in the Band and offended him, as from the very beginning he had wanted to shoot the entire film on location.

Upon seeing the underexposed scenes, Bush reportedly "lost confidence" [12] and was subsequently dismissed, which forced Friedkin to employ a new camera crew.

Stephens with whom he had worked under David L. Stephens applied necessary changes, including the employment of reflectors balancing "the deep shadows of the tall trees", as well as replacing lenses and film stock.

This resulted in a leap of cinematographic quality which delighted the director, who has said "the locations looked beautiful to the eye".

Apart from Bush, Friedkin had a feud with the chief Teamsters representative whom he dismissed at some point and which prompted the director to find another trucker crew.

The director also fired five production managers, which upset Scheider, who said that he was "tired of going to the airport and saying goodbye to them," as well as adding that he was the only person Friedkin could not drop, as he was the leading actor.

Friedkin regretted this situation, as he praised Salven greatly for his previous contributions to his movies. He was replaced by Ian Smith, whom the director described as "experienced and efficient".

It reportedly took two weeks to replace the crew workers. In The Friedkin Connection he added that "almost half the crew went into the hospital or had to be sent home.

The sound design crew included Jean-Louis Ducarme, with whom Friedkin had worked on The Exorcist and of whom he thought very highly.

The sound crew employed distorted samples of tiger and cougar roars for the truck engines' sound. Schexnayder noted that such a technical exercise was "relatively unique for the period"; but, over the years, techniques such as these became a staple of film-making.

In the bottomless silence. Without warning A curtain slowly ascends revealing A midnight dawn. A whisper of chill wind And white sun eclipsed by pale yellow moon.

Rumor of distant thunder trembles along the edge of a galaxy Cascading down infinite corridors of burning mirrors reflecting and rereflecting momentous oceans of stampeding wild horses.

Glass shatters, shrieks and spins away becoming clusters of starfall that scatter from hidden places. Relentless like a recurring nightmare. Centaurs throb within the blood crossing arteries of storming cavalries that crash though the top of your head Recycle and recur Again and again Reminding of white suns eclipsing oceans of stars shrieking through the midnight dawn.

Sorcerer soundtrack back cover [72]. Sorcerer marked the first Hollywood film score for the German krautrock and electronic band Tangerine Dream.

William Friedkin, during his visit in Germany, attended their concert in a derelict church in the Black Forest.

The band seemed to him "on the cutting edge of the electronic synthesizer sound" that soon would become a staple in mainstream culture.

He assessed their music as a mixture of classical music played on synthesizers and "the new pop sound", and described the experience as "mesmerizing".

However, upon learning Friedkin intended to reimagine Wages of Fear , Froese called Friedkin back and asked for video material to be worked on, [73] but Friedkin suggested the band create the score based solely on their impressions of the script, without seeing a single minute of video footage.

Friedkin, an admirer of the band, stated in the liner notes for the soundtrack that "[h]ad [he] heard them sooner [he] would have asked them to score [ The Exorcist ]", and that he considers the film and the score to be "inseparable".

When our trailer [for Sorcerer ] faded to black, the curtains closed and opened again, and they kept opening and opening, and you started feeling this huge thing coming over your shoulder overwhelming you, and heard this noise, and you went right off into space.

It made our film look like this little, amateurish piece of crap. General Equilibrium Theory: An Introduction. Intermediate Microeconomics - A Modern Approach.

New York, London: W. An Essay on the Principle of Population. Printed for J. Johnson, in St. Paul's Church-Yard.

Abdi H. Multiple Correspondence Analysis. In: Salkind N. Thousand Oaks: Sage. Berenger V. Flury B. Bollen K. Dehley J. Escoufier Y.

L'analyse conjointe de plusieurs matrices de donn? In: Jolivet M. Paris: Sociti Fran? Goodman L. Johansson S. Lavit C.

Analyse conjointe de tableaux quantitatifs. Paris: Masson. O'Brien R. Rivadeneira F. Vermunt J. In: Quantitative methodology series. Ark L.

Mahwah: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates Publishers. Modelling the Dynamics of the "Smarter Region". Cobb C. Forrester J.

Forrester, J. Urban Dynamics. Komninos N. Intelligent Cities and Globalisation of Innovation Networks. London, New York: Routledge. Meadows D. New York: Universe Books.

Limits to Growth - the 30 Year Update. White River Jct. VT : Chelsea Green Publ. Nordhaus W. Warming Policies.

Romer P. Whelpton P. Bando M. Beklaryan L. Cremer M. Helbing D. Kerner B. Berlin Heidelberg: Springer-Verlag.

Khachatryan N. Leventhal T. Lighthill M. On Kinematic Waves: II. Nagel K. In the past one has found that transmutations of nuclei only take place with the emission of electrons, protons, or helium nuclei, so that the heavy elements change their mass only a small amount to produce near neighboring elements.

When heavy nuclei are bombarded by neutrons, it is conceivable that the nucleus breaks up into several large fragments, which would of course be isotopes of known elements but would not be neighbors of the irradiated element.

The finding that the new radioelement comes down together with rhenium sulfide when this is precipitated from an acid solution also does not speak for element In the first place, rhenium sulfide readily absorbs other materials.

Secondly, the prediction of the probable properties of 93 make it appear not at all certain that this element forms a sulfide which is stable in acid.

Furthermore, if Fermi's interpretation of his experiments were correct, then an additional necessary conclusion, which was not given by him, is that the beta decay of element 93 would produce element It should be relatively easy to separate this chemically from element One must await further experiments, before one could claim that element 93 has really been found.

Fermi himself is careful in this respect, as has been mentioned previously, but in one article about his experiments 6 and also in the reports found in the newspapers it is made to appear that the results are already certain.

The second statement about the discovery of element 93 comes from Odolen Koblic. He described chemical properties of the element and its compounds, determined its atomic weight, assumed that it was the radioactive parent substance of protactinum 91 , and gave it the name "bohemium" after his native land.

This report also was uncritically accepted and widely distributed in the newspapers of the whole world. Through the intervention of Dr.

Speter, Mr. Koblic sent to me two samples of his material, with the request to investigate it for the presence of element Both the chemical analysis and X-ray spectra showed that the material did not contain any 93; it did show instead a mixture of silver, thallium vanadate and tungstate salts, with excess tungstic acid.

After being told of these findings, Koblic became convinced of the presence of tungsten, and withdrew his claims to the discovery of element However there are only some not very clear newspaper reports available, so that one cannot tell what was done so far.

American Studies: A Monograph Series, vol. Teil I. Ralph Schucht: Der moderne Prometheus. Wechselwirkungen zwischen Literatur und Naturwissenschaften in der englischen Romantik, Frankfurt a.

Newark: University of Delaware Press, , in: Anglia London and New York: Routledge, , in: Anglia Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, , in: Anglistik DFG und British Council.

Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes. Anna Farkas. European Science Foundation, Reisekosten. Kongress- und Kontaktstipendium der DFG.

Sektionsleitung, zusammen mit PD Dr. Historicizing the Ocean, c. Her Ph. Hossain, M. Ballantyne Zweitgutachter. Forerunner and Traditionalist Zweitgutachter.

Stegbauer, Christina: Gender on Horseback. Andreas, Saskia: Land of My Mothers? Blum, Barbara: Truth or Tudor Propaganda? The official site of Dr.

Barney Glaser and Classic Grounded Theory. Led by Dr. Markko Hamalainen, Dr. Alvita Nathaniel, and Dr. Michael K. For further information contact Markko at: HamalainenM darden.

For further information or an application contact Ulrika at ulrika. For further information, contact Dr. Scott helen groundedtheoryonline.

Helen Scott and Dr. Andy Lowe. For further information contact Gonzalo Jimenez Seminario at gjimenez proteus.

See Seminars for further information on all the upcoming seminars. Barney Glaser's now world famous troubleshooting seminars are designed for PhD candidates to trouble shoot exactly their next question with regard to doing their GT dissertation.

The goal is to get candidates closer to finishing the PhD dissertation, by troubleshooting their current GT problem s and listening to other student's current GT problems in an open, supportive and noncompetitive discussion.

Seminars cover the many GT issues candidates face in completing their PhD dissertation. All students will learn from each other, and receive invaluable help.

The book is about the origins and growth of grounded theory GT as developed and written by Barney G. It is not written to compete or compare with other QDA methods.

The competition with other perspectives is up to the reader to write up, if he so desires. My goal in this paper is to write up the GT perspective clearly and historically to date so it can be used by others in research and the rhetorical wrestle between different perspectives.

As GT spreads throughout the world a clear view of the GT perspective is constantly needed and requested from me by researchers for doing GT and for trying to explain the method to others, particularly supervisors and peer reviewers.

One of the precious properties of classical grounded theory GT is the autonomy it gives the researcher. A response to a cry for help from a novice GT researcher can take away his autonomy It can be a strong answer by a strong senior researcher that undermines the merging theory of the novice.

The novice must be careful not to yield or give away his power of autonomy for a need for help as desperate as he may feel the need.

This book deals simply with choosing classic grounded theory CGT as the methodology to use mainly for doing the dissertation. CGT stands alone as a separate method not as a competitive method in conflict and controversy with all the QDA qualitative data analysis methods jargonized as a type of GT.

This reader provides a myriad of CGT properties to consider in choosing it as the method to use. There will be no competitive arguments with other methods offered here.

It is designed to have CGT chosen on its merits for the user, not better or worse. It can be pre-ordered by going to.

Grounded Theory Review is now an open access journal! Are you undertaking a classic grounded theory study, but have no one to mentor you?

This anthology brings together a collection of articles on classic grounded theory organized around the concept of mentoring the method. With 19 contributors, most of whom have studied with Barney Glaser; the book is a wonderful tribute to both the man and the method.

It does a great job of explaining the roots of GT exploring the life, philosophies and influences on Barney Glaser , correcting some misunderstanding about the method, and looking at advances in the method.

It is useful to both the novice and the experienced researcher. He talks about the literature review, grounded theory as a jargon, high impact variables, conceptualization, and more.

FloraFaunaAltoAdige www. Il portale fornisce i dati sulla distribuzione dei gruppi di piante o animali selezionati e le schede informative sulle singole specie.

FloraFaunaAltoAdige si rivolge a tutte le persone che si occupano di flora e fauna dell'Alto Adige, in egual misura sia a specialisti che persone interessate.

Fin dalla sua fondazione nel , il Museo di Scienze Naturali dell'Alto Adige si pone come il centro di documentazione di riferimento per la flora e la fauna della regione.

Il portale vuole spronare la collaborazione nella rilevazione dei dati e rafforzare la comunicazione tra i conservatori del museo, in quanto gestori del portale, e gli esperti esterni, ma anche con le persone comuni che sono semplicemente interessate all'argomento.

Per richieste di contatto, domande e proposte su FloraFaunaAltoAdige scrivere a: florafauna naturmuseum. L'utilizzo di FloraFaunaAltoAdige prevede che si accettino le condizioni elencate di seguito:.

Per i dati estratti in generale e gli output mappe ed elenco delle specie : FloraFaunaAltoAdige. Il portale sulla distribuzione delle specie animali e vegetali in Alto Adige.

Per il progetto: Wilhalm T. Kranebitter P. Gredleriana Per i lavori scientifici devono essere citate le pubblicazioni elettroniche sui diversi gruppi di organismi.

Per la ricerca di singole specie animali e vegetali sono disponibili due diverse funzioni. Dato che tutte le specie di un genere segnalate in Alto Adige vengono elencate, FloraFaunaAltoAdige assolve anche alla funzione di catalogo delle specie checklist.

La mappa di localizzazione, invece, indica i luoghi dell'avvistamento di una specie se si dispone delle coordinate il punto esatto o uno dei luoghi di riferimento nelle vicinanze.

FloraFaunaAltoAdige utilizza tre indicazioni di stato vedi il simbolo relativo , che nella flora e fauna talvolta sono utilizzati diversamente:.

La maggioranza dei dati proviene comunque dalla cartografia floristica in corso. La definizione tassonomia delle specie rappresentate si basa essenzialmente su Fischer M.

Adler W. La nomenclatura segue Wilhalm et al. Niklfeld H. Aellen P. In: Hegi G. Illustrierte Flora von Mitteleuropa, 2.

Albers F. Haussknechtia, 7: Argenti C. Lasen C. Rovereto, Sez. Arietti N. Dalla scoperta alla ricostruzione dell'areale.

Natura Bresciana, Bachmann S. Becherer A. Bauhinia, 5 3 : Bauhinia, 5 4 : Bojko H. Melden Sie sich noch Häkchen. Alle Updates, News und Artikel anzeigen.

Jetzt anmelden. Nomophobie bezeichnet die Angst, keinen Handy-Kontakt zu haben und somit mobil nicht erreichbar zu sein.

Als Nomophobie bezeichnet man daher die bei manchen.

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